Many things have changed since November 1st, 1993, when twelve European countries signed the Maastricht Treaty to form an economic and political alliance. The European Union, as it was later named by its member states, has gone through several adjustments and transformations in the last fifteen years, and its most sweeping change may only be weeks away. The EU has expanded since 1993 to include 27 countries and will expand further as it attempts to unify all of Europe. In this year alone the Union has undergone various modifications after the election of new politicians to the European Parliament to replace its Head and many others in order to improve the overall functionality of the political union. While the whole European Union is waiting for the Czech President to sign the Lisbon Treaty, Tony Blair has offered himself as a candidate to run for the President of the EU. For many citizens of the Union in addition to politicians, Blair's ambition seems a little out of place and raises many questions. Is Tony Blair a good candidate for this position? The opinions are certainly divided; although many believe he might enable this union to be a stronger political and economic force internationally, I am a little bit skeptical about his candidacy.
Mr. Tony Blair assumed the role of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for ten years between 1997 and 2007. As some might have noticed, he was most politically powerful while George W. Bush served as President of the United States. His political affiliation and alliance with Bush weakened his popularity in his own country, though, and many British citizens believed that the invasion of Iraq was unnecessary and a huge mistake. Moreover, others hated Blair for his views on certain economic issues, earning him even more antagonists. For example, European federalists blame him for failing to urge Britain to convert its currency to the euro, which would stabilize the British economy. Protectionists dislike him for his commitment to free market capitalism. Several years ago, Mr. Blair spoke in Mexico and passionately claimed, "I'm for free trade, and I'll tell you why: because we can't say to the poorest people in the world, 'We want you to be free, but just don't try to sell your goods in our market.'" This statement has damned him in many eyes who think he should be protecting British and European interests primarily. Certainly, Europeans with anti-American sentiments are afraid that his desire for Europe to work closely with the United States will completely destroy European power and the overall system.
Blair also lacks support from the largest party in the European Parliament, the European People's party, which demands to have one of its own assume the presidency, and Mr. Blair does not belong to this party. Henry Porter, who wrote a commentary for the Observer, sheds more light on Tony Blair's weaknesses as a candidate for EU President. As he points out, Mr. Blair, with his ten year period as prime minister, seems to not reach his "presidential" position and rises the question if his experience is enough to take over such high status. Ultimately, Europe is looking for a person who would increase its global influence and its quality. "They want a Euro-fighter, not a Euro-suit," like Mr. Tony Blair, says Porter. Moreover, let us be clear that Mr. Blair "is not a convinced democrat," where the European Union attempts to organize itself more effectively through the Lisbon Treaty. This is why Europe allows foreign policy institutions to preside over internal security. Many should start to think if giving the position of the President to Mr. Blair would be good, when most European leaders appear to think in terms of the power and influence of Europe in the world, rather than integrating its institutions. Whereas some of them think in terms of Europe's power and influence in the world, Blair's candidacy has raised some important
questions about priorities: perhaps these political leaders should instead focus on developing Europe's internal organization first, and integrate its institutions before prioritizing an international role.
Although I pointed out the weaknesses of Mr. Blair as a candidate for European President, we can still distinguish his strengths. He could improve the Union's global credibility, because even though the EU makes up 20% of world GDP, it still remains less influential in international diplomacy. Furthermore, during his ten years in office Mr. Blair generated the idea that gave the EU "a role in defense policy and that has subsequently led to the deployment of two dozen missions of peacekeepers, policemen and administrators to conflict zones such as Bosnia, Congo, Palestine and Somali coast." Tony Blair has also addressed global warming, green energy, and security issues as the most important for the European Union. All these actions have established Mr. Blair as one of the most recognizable and influential personalities of the European Union. Now, while the Lisbon Treaty is on hold, Mr. Tony Blair tries to portray himself in the best light in order to ultimately win the position as the European President.
Nevertheless, the most important point to remember is that this job does not even exist until the Lisbon Treaty is signed. There is a bigger problem, however, because "the new presidency's function relates to EU institutions that are generally reviled or ignored in this country, but rarely understood." The task for the new President under the Lisbon Treaty is "to provide continuity and ambition to the European agenda." This should fix decision-making within the European Union in areas like the environment, energy, supply, financial stability and security, areas that require coordinated continental action. So far, the meetings of European heads of government were set by the state that holds a rotating presidency, but now, the new president and his officials should "set a clearer strategic agenda, persuade member states to sign up to it and sell its benefits across Europe." This means that a "president of Europe" does not wield executive power, but will steer meetings of the European Council. This advisory role is probably not what Mr. Blair dreams of while he campaigns for the position, but anything is possible. Mr. Blair could try to transform his presidency into a symbolic and influential office, so this would give him a sort of executive power over the whole European Union.
Tony Blair's talents, faults, and many controversial positions make it difficult for the European Union as a whole to determine whether or not he should assume the leading role in its affairs. His candidacy challenges politicians to decide what they want from the presidential position and what good it would ultimately bring for the Union. Mr. Blair is certainly a celebrated personality, and many politicians around the world, like Silvio Berlusconi or David Miliband, have known him and support his candidacy, but it might not be enough to win him the title of the President. I have reviewed many of Blair's major political decisions and several seem to collide with the EU's interests and goals. I believe that ex-Prime Minister of the United Kingdom is a great person and respected politician but think there are better people who could take over this position, without additional self-interests, like possessing executive power of the EU. This position, which Mr. Blair is so eager to take, will not allow him to make reliable and credible progress for the whole of the European Union.